Speed Map
This table details
our calculated running position of horses after settling down (ie
after 400m). Jockeys should try to better their position if a horse is
3 wide or worse, so look for where a jockey may be able to settle in closer to the rails
if there is room behind or in front. Also question horses that are close to the rail and
surrounded by horses front, back and off the rail, they may get
blocked for a run. Distance should be taken into consideration
as shorter distances have more pressure on settling than longer
distances. Wide horses tend to remain wide in shorter
distances.
There are many influences at the start of a race which
govern the actual settling positions, so use this information as a
guideline only.
[Leader] Horse
Our virtual [Leader] horse indicates where the front running horse should be in this particular race to set a normal pace (considering course and distance). If the calculated front runner(s) are much further to the left of our virtual [Leader] horse, then the race could be run at a slower than normal pace (and disadvantage backmarkers). If the calculated front runner(s) are much further to the right of our virtual [Leader] horse, then the race could be run at a faster than normal pace (and give backmarkers and advantage). Please note that our virtual [Leader] Horse is not in this race, it is only an indicator. Also its position out wide has no relevance. Straight races such as Flemington's 1200m may be skewed to a faster pace. Races over 2100m and hurdle races etc may be less relevant. Of course there are many other factors in the race that we can not measure (ie jockey ability to correct the pace etc) but our virtual leader should serve as a good indicator for pace.
Speed Ranking
A horse listed first in either sectional category
below indicates that this is the fastest horse in that sectional. The exact running position however,
is determined by the jockey's instructions (refer preferred running position table), barrier etc.
The same horse listed first in both sectionals would indicate the fastest horse in the race and
should be a likely leader. Use this information in conjunction with the speed map above, the
horse's distance ability, (track ability in some cases too), preferred running position 'forward
runners' and pace/wgt position. Do not confuse this information with actual running position.
A horse can be a backmarker, but be listed on top of the last sectional table, in such a case,
this would indicate the horse comes home extremely fast from the back of the field. There will
also be anomalies where backmarkers are top rankings in the first sectional, this would indicate
that the horse is way out of distance. Also a horse with a strong first sectional and a poor last
sectional does not mean that the horse can not win, but you would want the horse to be a front
runner in such a case or horses better than it in the last sectional to be well behind in the
speed map table above.
First Sectional
5
indicates the horse has the ability to move forward.
Second Sectional
5
indicates the horse has the ability to come home strong from preferred running position.
6 indicates the horse may weaken in the
run home, but running position and situation of
other horses should be taken into consideration
(ie a way out in front front runner may tire at the end but still win).
| Fisrt Half Sectional | Last Half Sectional |
